Match details. Liga Nacional, Apertura - 9. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 02:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca.
What's at stake. Lobos UPNFM are 9th on 8 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Atletico Independiente, level on points with Platense FC. A win would take them above Atletico Independiente. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula are 3rd on 17 points after 8 games, level on points with CD Olimpia, 4 points clear of CD Motagua. A win would take them above CD Olimpia.
Form. Lobos UPNFM have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W.
The numbers. Lobos UPNFM score 0.9 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Lobos UPNFM average 9.4 shots (3.2 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula score 1.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula average 11.7 shots (4.6 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Lobos UPNFM have won two, drawn four and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, two were drawn and CD Marathon San Pedro Sula won two. The last time they met, on 14 Mar 2026, it finished Lobos UPNFM 0-2 CD Marathon San Pedro Sula.
The read. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Marathon San Pedro Sula the likelier winners; CD Marathon San Pedro Sula are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Marathon San Pedro Sula; the meetings favour CD Marathon San Pedro Sula. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or CD Marathon San Pedro Sula at 1.30, 82% on the records (CD Marathon San Pedro Sula unbeaten in 5 of 6; Lobos UPNFM failed to win 7 of 10). Backup: CD Marathon San Pedro Sula Over 0.5 Goals at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CD Marathon San Pedro Sula or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CD Marathon San Pedro Sula or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Lobos UPNFM 0-1 CD Marathon San Pedro Sula (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Double Chance: Draw or CD Marathon San Pedro SulaMAININ CODES
1.30
LOB 5 of 6 (83%) · CDM 7 of 10 (70%)86.9%
CD Marathon San Pedro Sula unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos UPNFM failed to win 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · H2H 6 of 6 · CD Marathon San Pedro Sula: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at CD Marathon San Pedro Sula's level
CD Marathon San Pedro Sula win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.21
LOB 6 of 6 (100%) · CDM 8 of 10 (80%)85%
CD Marathon San Pedro Sula: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos UPNFM: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · CD Marathon San Pedro Sula: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at CD Marathon San Pedro Sula's level
CD Marathon San Pedro Sula (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.52
LOB 4 of 5 (80%) · CDM 5 of 8 (62%)82.1%
CD Marathon San Pedro Sula won 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Lobos UPNFM lost 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 71% · CD Marathon San Pedro Sula: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at CD Marathon San Pedro Sula's level · won 2, refunded 2, lost 4
2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or CD Marathon San Pedro SulaPAGE ONLY
1.29
LOB 4 of 6 (67%) · CDM 9 of 10 (90%)79.6%
CD Marathon San Pedro Sula: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos UPNFM: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · CD Marathon San Pedro Sula: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at CD Marathon San Pedro Sula's level
CD Marathon San Pedro Sula or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.23
LOB 5 of 6 (83%) · CDM 8 of 10 (80%)77.2%
CD Marathon San Pedro Sula: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos UPNFM: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 4 of 6 · CD Marathon San Pedro Sula: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at CD Marathon San Pedro Sula's level
CD Marathon San Pedro Sula or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
LOB 4 of 5 (80%) · CDM 5 of 7 (71%)77.1%
CD Marathon San Pedro Sula scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos UPNFM trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at CD Marathon San Pedro Sula's level
CD Marathon San Pedro Sula 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LOB 4 of 5 (80%) · CDM 5 of 7 (71%)77.1%
CD Marathon San Pedro Sula scored first 2 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos UPNFM trailed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at CD Marathon San Pedro Sula's level
CD Marathon San Pedro Sula to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
2.30
LOB 4 of 6 (67%) · CDM 5 of 10 (50%)57.6%
CD Marathon San Pedro Sula won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos UPNFM lost 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · H2H 2 of 6 · CD Marathon San Pedro Sula: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at CD Marathon San Pedro Sula's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LOB 10 of 10 (100%) · CDM 6 of 6 (100%)96.8%
Lobos UPNFM: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Marathon San Pedro Sula: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 6 · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at CD Marathon San Pedro Sula's level · CD Marathon San Pedro Sula: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.12
LOB 9 of 10 (90%) · CDM 4 of 6 (67%)84.7%
Lobos UPNFM: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Marathon San Pedro Sula: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 6 · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at CD Marathon San Pedro Sula's level · CD Marathon San Pedro Sula: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level
LOBOS UPNFM GOALS
Lobos UPNFM Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.40
LOB 7 of 10 (70%) · CDM 5 of 6 (83%)74.4%
Lobos UPNFM scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Marathon San Pedro Sula conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · H2H 4 of 6 · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at CD Marathon San Pedro Sula's level · CD Marathon San Pedro Sula: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level
CD MARATHON SAN PEDRO SULA GOALS
CD Marathon San Pedro Sula Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.22
LOB 6 of 6 (100%) · CDM 8 of 10 (80%)85%
CD Marathon San Pedro Sula scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos UPNFM conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · CD Marathon San Pedro Sula: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at CD Marathon San Pedro Sula's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.22
LOB 6 of 10 (60%) · CDM 6 of 6 (100%)80.8%
Lobos UPNFM: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Marathon San Pedro Sula: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at CD Marathon San Pedro Sula's level · CD Marathon San Pedro Sula: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LOB 4 of 5 (80%) · CDM 5 of 7 (71%)75.7%
Lobos UPNFM's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Marathon San Pedro Sula's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at CD Marathon San Pedro Sula's level
Left off the list: CD Marathon San Pedro Sula or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); CD Marathon San Pedro Sula or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–111.2%
Lobos UPNFM goals →
CD Marathon San Pedro… goals ↓
0-08%
1-06%
2-04%
3-01%
4-00.3%
5-00.1%
0-111%
1-112%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.5%
5-10.1%
0-210%
1-210%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-35%
1-35%
2-33%
3-30.8%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.7%
1-50.7%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
LOBOS UPNFMLWLDDLLLWW1.10 PPG
CD MARATHON SAN PEDRO SULAWLDWWWDWLL1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LOBOS UPNFM HOMExCD MARATHON SAN PEDRO SULA AWAY
0.90SCORED A GAME1.801.40CONCEDED A GAME1.1020%CLEAN SHEETS40%38%FAILED TO SCORE0%3.80CORNERS A GAME5.712.80CARDS A GAME2.71
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.14POINTS A GAME1.83-0.43GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.07LEAGUE GAMES6
CD Marathon San Pedro Sula: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
CD MARATHON SAN PEDRO SULA 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
68%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
28%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 85/90
LOBOS UPNFM OR DRAW
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
CD MARATHON SAN PEDRO SULA OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LOBOS UPNFMxCD MARATHON SAN PEDRO SULA
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME2.001.40CONCEDED A GAME0.802.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
LOBOS UPNFM 2 · 20%DRAW 4CD MARATHON SAN PEDRO SULA 4 · 40%
5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-01-20Lobos UPNFM 1 – 3 CD Marathon San Pedro Sula
2024-03-09Lobos UPNFM 0 – 1 CD Marathon San Pedro Sula
2024-08-17Lobos UPNFM 2 – 0 CD Marathon San Pedro Sula
2024-10-26Lobos UPNFM 2 – 1 CD Marathon San Pedro Sula
2025-03-01Lobos UPNFM 3 – 3 CD Marathon San Pedro Sula
2025-05-04Lobos UPNFM 0 – 0 CD Marathon San Pedro Sula
2025-09-18Lobos UPNFM 2 – 2 CD Marathon San Pedro Sula
2025-12-04Lobos UPNFM 0 – 2 CD Marathon San Pedro Sula
TRENDS
Lobos UPNFM have scored in 60% of their games.
CD Marathon San Pedro Sula have scored in 90% of their games.
Lobos UPNFM kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
CD Marathon San Pedro Sula kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards