Frosinone vs Sassuolo
Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at PSC Arena, Frosinone. The referee is Matteo Marchetti.
What's at stake. Frosinone are 9th on 10 points after 6 games, level on points with Napoli, 2 points clear of Sassuolo. A win would take them above Napoli. Sassuolo are 10th on 8 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Frosinone, 2 points clear of Atalanta. A win would take them above Frosinone.
Team news. Sassuolo are without I. Koné (broken leg), E. Pieragnolo (jumpers knee), Fali Candé (jumpers knee), D. Boloca (muscle bruise), Y. Paz (jumpers knee).
Form. Frosinone have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W D. Sassuolo have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D D.
The numbers. Frosinone score 2.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Frosinone average 16.1 shots (5.4 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Sassuolo score 1.6 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Sassuolo average 13.6 shots (5.6 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Frosinone have won two, drawn two and lost four. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Frosinone won two and Sassuolo won two. The last time they met, on 13 May 2025, it finished Frosinone 1-0 Sassuolo: Frosinone had 15 shots to 14, 39% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. Sassuolo's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. Frosinone or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Both teams' records favour Frosinone. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 76% on the records (Frosinone: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6; Sassuolo: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Frosinone 2-1 Sassuolo (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).