Parnu JK Vaprus vs Nomme Kalju FC
Parnu JK Vaprus scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · Nomme Kalju FC conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 2 of 6 · Parnu JK Vaprus: only games against sides at Nomme Kalju FC's level · Nomme Kalju FC: only games against sides at Parnu JK Vaprus's level
Match details. Premium Liiga, Regular Season - 31. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Parnu Rannastaadion.
What's at stake. Parnu JK Vaprus are 7th on 35 points after 30 games, 3 points behind Laagri, 3 points clear of Kuressaare. A win would take them level on points with Laagri. Nomme Kalju FC are 4th on 50 points after 30 games, 1 point behind Paide, 3 points clear of Tammeka. A win would take them above Paide. Parnu JK Vaprus have nothing left to play for. Nomme Kalju FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Parnu JK Vaprus have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W. In this competition Parnu JK Vaprus have gone D L L L W W. Nomme Kalju FC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. In this competition Nomme Kalju FC have gone L W W L L L.
The numbers. Parnu JK Vaprus score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Parnu JK Vaprus average 3.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Nomme Kalju FC score 1.9 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Nomme Kalju FC average 6.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Parnu JK Vaprus have won three, drawn one and lost five. Eight of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Parnu JK Vaprus won two and Nomme Kalju FC won two. The last time they met, on 16 Aug 2026, it finished Parnu JK Vaprus 1-3 Nomme Kalju FC.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%. Eight of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 76% on the records (Parnu JK Vaprus: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Nomme Kalju FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: Parnu JK Vaprus Over 0.5 Goals at 1.38. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Nomme Kalju FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Nomme Kalju FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Parnu JK Vaprus 2-1 Nomme Kalju FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).