THE READ
Match details. Liga Portugal 2, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Do Lusitania, Lorosa. The referee is David Rafael Oliveira da Silva.
What's at stake. Lusitania FC Lourosa are 1st on 16 points after 6 games, 1 point clear of Sporting CP B. GD Chaves are 17th on 4 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Amarante, 3 points clear of Feirense. A win would take them above Amarante.
Form. Lusitania FC Lourosa have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. GD Chaves have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D.
The numbers. Lusitania FC Lourosa score 1.6 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Lusitania FC Lourosa average 11.0 shots (3.9 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.1 cards a game. GD Chaves score 1.5 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. GD Chaves average 13.4 shots (5.3 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Lusitania FC Lourosa have won none, drawn two and lost one. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 24 Jan 2026, it finished Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-2 GD Chaves: seven yellow cards.
The case against. GD Chaves's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. Lusitania FC Lourosa to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Lusitania FC Lourosa the likelier winners; Lusitania FC Lourosa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lusitania FC Lourosa. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%. Two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Lusitania FC Lourosa or Draw at 1.34, 78% on the records (Lusitania FC Lourosa unbeaten in 7 of 9; GD Chaves failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.27. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: 1X2 - 2UP: Lusitania FC Lourosa (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-1 GD Chaves (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Lusitania FC Lourosa or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUS 8 of 9 (89%) · GDC 5 of 5 (100%)93.7%
Lusitania FC Lourosa: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · H2H 3 of 3 · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level
Lusitania FC Lourosa or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.20
LUS 5 of 5 (100%) · GDC 8 of 9 (89%)89.6%
Lusitania FC Lourosa scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level
Lusitania FC Lourosa or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.22
LUS 8 of 9 (89%) · GDC 5 of 5 (100%)88.9%
Lusitania FC Lourosa: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · H2H 2 of 3 · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level
2nd Half - Double Chance: Lusitania FC Lourosa or DrawPAGE ONLY
1.30
LUS 7 of 9 (78%) · GDC 5 of 5 (100%)84.1%
Lusitania FC Lourosa: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · H2H 2 of 3 · on half-time scores · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level
Double Chance: Lusitania FC Lourosa or DrawMAININ CODES
1.26
LUS 7 of 9 (78%) · GDC 4 of 5 (80%)78%
Lusitania FC Lourosa unbeaten in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves failed to win 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · H2H 2 of 3 · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level
Lusitania FC Lourosa to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.65
LUS 7 of 9 (78%) · GDC 4 of 5 (80%)72.1%
Lusitania FC Lourosa: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · H2H 1 of 3 · on half-time scores · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level
Lusitania FC Lourosa (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.45
LUS 5 of 7 (71%) · GDC 4 of 5 (80%)70.5%
Lusitania FC Lourosa won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · GD Chaves lost 4 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 73% · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level · won 6, refunded 1, lost 3
Lusitania FC Lourosa or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.78
LUS 5 of 9 (56%) · GDC 3 of 5 (60%)60%
Lusitania FC Lourosa: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 61% · H2H 2 of 3 · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level
Lusitania FC Lourosa to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
2.30
LUS 5 of 9 (56%) · GDC 4 of 5 (80%)52.6%
Lusitania FC Lourosa won 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves lost 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 61% · H2H 0 of 3 · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level
GOALS
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LUS 8 of 9 (89%) · GDC 5 of 5 (100%)92.5%
Lusitania FC Lourosa: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · H2H 3 of 3 · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level
1.33
LUS 7 of 9 (78%) · GDC 4 of 5 (80%)75.3%
Lusitania FC Lourosa: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · H2H 3 of 3 · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level
LUSITANIA FC LOUROSA GOALS
Lusitania FC Lourosa Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.23
LUS 8 of 9 (89%) · GDC 5 of 5 (100%)81.3%
Lusitania FC Lourosa scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · H2H 2 of 3 · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level
GD CHAVES GOALS
GD Chaves Under 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.36
LUS 3 of 5 (60%) · GDC 6 of 9 (67%)73.5%
GD Chaves scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · Lusitania FC Lourosa conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 0 of 3 · GD Chaves: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.27
LUS 7 of 9 (78%) · GDC 5 of 5 (100%)90.5%
Lusitania FC Lourosa: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.44
LUS 8 of 9 (89%) · GDC 4 of 5 (80%)81.6%
Lusitania FC Lourosa: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · H2H 2 of 3 · on half-time scores · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level
CARDS
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LUS 8 of 9 (89%) · GDC 4 of 5 (80%)84.1%
Lusitania FC Lourosa's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level
Left off the list: 1X2 - 2UP: Lusitania FC Lourosa (the numbers (54%) and the records (82%) are 28 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))