Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg
Match details. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen. The referee is Florian Badstubner.
What's at stake. Bayer Leverkusen are 4th on 10 points after 5 games, 3 points behind SC Freiburg, level on points with FSV Mainz 05. A win would take them level on points with SC Freiburg. Freiburg are 3rd on 13 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Borussia Dortmund, 3 points clear of Bayer Leverkusen. A win would take them above Borussia Dortmund.
Team news. Bayer Leverkusen are without E. Ben Seghir (muscle injury), G. Doue (calf injury), K. Eichhorn (illness), C. Kofane (muscle injury), M. Terrier (muscle injury), M. Culbreath (foot injury). Freiburg are without Y. Suzuki (red card), B. Yilmaz (lacking match fitness), Y. Suzuki (red card), B. Yilmaz (lacking match fitness).
Form. Bayer Leverkusen have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. Freiburg have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W.
The numbers. Bayer Leverkusen score 2.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Bayer Leverkusen average 17.5 shots (7.4 on target), 6.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 60% of the ball. Freiburg score 2.9 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Freiburg average 16.7 shots (8.0 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Bayer Leverkusen have won five, drawn three and lost two. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in nine. In the last four, Bayer Leverkusen won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 7 Mar 2026, it finished Bayer Leverkusen 3-3 Freiburg: Bayer Leverkusen had 17 shots to 21, 53% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Bayer Leverkusen the likelier winners, but Freiburg are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Bayer Leverkusen.
The case against. Freiburg's record still gives them 41% to win.
The read. Bayer Leverkusen or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Bayer Leverkusen the likelier winners; Freiburg are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Bayer Leverkusen. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 81% on the records (Bayer Leverkusen: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7; Freiburg: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).