Angers vs Marseille
Angers scored in 3 of 5 at home · Marseille conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · H2H 4 of 6 · Angers: only games against sides at Marseille's level · Marseille: only games against sides at Angers's level
Match details. Ligue 1, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers. The referee is Jeremie Pignard.
What's at stake. Angers are 13th on 7 points after 6 games, level on points with Strasbourg, 1 point clear of Marseille. A win would take them above Strasbourg. Marseille are 14th on 6 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Angers, level on points with Le Mans. A win would take them above Angers.
Team news. Angers are without J. Lefort (red card), H. Belkebla (injury), O. Camara (thigh injury), J. Kalulu (groin injury), J. Lefort (red card), H. Belkebla (injury). Marseille are without D. Cornelius (hip injury), P. Hojbjerg (muscle injury), D. Cornelius (hip injury), P. Hojbjerg (muscle injury).
Form. Angers have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W. Marseille have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L.
The numbers. Angers score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Angers average 9.4 shots (3.4 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Marseille score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Marseille average 11.1 shots (4.2 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Angers have won one, drawn three and lost six. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, two were drawn and Marseille won two. The last time they met, on 17 Jan 2026, it finished Angers 2-5 Marseille: Angers had 7 shots to 23, 34% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Angers's record still gives them 26% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Marseille to win. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Marseille the likelier winners; Marseille are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Marseille; the meetings favour Marseille. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Marseille at 1.32, 73% on the records (Marseille unbeaten in 4 of 8; Angers failed to win 4 of 5 at home). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Marseille or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Angers 1-2 Marseille (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).