Fiorentina vs Como 1907
Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence. The referee is Marco Di Bello.
What's at stake. Fiorentina are 18th on 4 points after 6 games, level on points with Parma, level on points with Genoa. A win would take them above Parma. Como 1907 are 8th on 11 points after 6 games, level on points with Juventus, 1 point clear of Napoli. A win would take them above Juventus.
Team news. Fiorentina are without F. Parisi (knee injury), R. Sottil (back injury), A. Atta (abdominal strain), L. Ranieri (leg injury), F. Parisi (knee injury), R. Sottil (back injury). Como 1907 are without A. Diao (thigh injury), M. Kean (leg injury), A. Diao (thigh injury), M. Kean (leg injury).
Form. Fiorentina have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L. Como 1907 have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W.
The numbers. Fiorentina score 1.7 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Fiorentina average 12.9 shots (5.6 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Como 1907 score 2.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Como 1907 average 17.9 shots (6.6 on target), 6.7 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 62% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Fiorentina have won two, drawn none and lost three. Three of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Fiorentina won one and Como 1907 won three. The last time they met, on 14 Feb 2026, it finished Fiorentina 2-1 Como 1907: Fiorentina had 7 shots to 16, 33% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The case against. Fiorentina's record still gives them 26% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%. Not everything agrees on goals: three of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Como 1907 to win. A tight game. Como 1907 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Como 1907.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.54, 71% on the records (Fiorentina: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8; Como 1907: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Como 1907 or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.31. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Como 1907 or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways); 1X2 - 2UP: Como 1907 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Fiorentina 0-1 Como 1907 (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).