Match details. LaLiga, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona. The referee is Juan Martinez Munuera.
What's at stake. Osasuna are 16th on 8 points after 8 games, level on points with Racing Santander, 1 point clear of Levante. A win would take them above Racing Santander. Racing Santander are 15th on 8 points after 8 games, level on points with Getafe, level on points with Osasuna. A win would take them above Getafe.
Team news. Osasuna are without A. Bonel (inactive), R. Del Castillo (muscle injury), J. Herrando (muscle injury), A. Oroz (injury), A. Bonel (inactive), R. Del Castillo (muscle injury). Sergio Herrera is their first-choice keeper. Íñigo Arguibide is their centre-back. Osasuna's line-up is confirmed. Racing Santander are without S. Eriksson (shoulder injury), S. Eriksson (shoulder injury). Racing Santander's line-up is confirmed.
Form. Osasuna have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. Racing Santander have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L.
The numbers. Osasuna score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Osasuna average 9.9 shots (4.6 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Racing Santander score one and concede 3.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Racing Santander average 11.8 shots (5.5 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Osasuna have won two, drawn none and lost two. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 13 May 2012, it finished Osasuna 4-2 Racing Santander.
The case against. Racing Santander's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Osasuna or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Racing Santander are the stronger side on form and the table. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%. Three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 75% on the records (Osasuna: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Racing Santander: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: Osasuna Over 0.5 Goals at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Osasuna 2-1 Racing Santander (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).