Udinese vs Lecce
Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 11:30 Lagos time. It is played at Bluenergy Stadium, Udine. The referee is Marco Guida.
What's at stake. Udinese are 15th on 4 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Bologna, level on points with Monza. A win would take them above Bologna. Lecce are 13th on 6 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Torino, 1 point clear of Bologna. A win would take them above Torino.
Team news. Udinese are without J. Abankwah (injury), V. Bayo (thigh injury), I. Gueye (ankle injury), N. Zaniolo (thigh injury), J. Piotrowski (heart problems), A. Zanoli (muscle injury). J. Abankwah is their centre-back. Lecce are without I. Ilic (thigh injury), M. Berisha (lacking match fitness), N. Stulic (muscle injury), I. Ilic (thigh injury), M. Berisha (lacking match fitness), N. Stulic (muscle injury).
Form. Udinese have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. Lecce have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. Udinese score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Udinese average 12.6 shots (4.6 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Lecce score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Lecce average 9.8 shots (3.5 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Udinese have won four, drawn two and lost three. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Udinese won three and Lecce won one. The last time they met, on 8 Feb 2026, it finished Udinese 1-2 Lecce: Udinese had 6 shots to 16, 46% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Udinese the likelier winners, but Lecce are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lecce; the meetings favour Udinese.
The case against. Lecce's record still gives them 49% to win.
The read. Udinese or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Udinese the likelier winners; Lecce are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lecce; the meetings favour Udinese. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.32, 72% on the records (Udinese: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8; Lecce: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Udinese 1-1 Lecce (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).