Match details. Serie C, Group C, Girone C - 9. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Raffaele Guariglia, Agropoli, a neutral ground. The referee is A. Di Reda.
What's at stake. Scafatese Calcio 1922 are 12th on 10 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Cavese, level on points with Inter U23. A win would take them above Cavese. ASD Sorrento 1945 are 3rd on 18 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Bari, 3 points clear of Casertana. A win would take them above Bari.
Form. Scafatese Calcio 1922 have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W D. ASD Sorrento 1945 have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.
The numbers. Scafatese Calcio 1922 score 1.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Scafatese Calcio 1922 average 8.6 shots (3.4 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game. ASD Sorrento 1945 score 1.3 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. ASD Sorrento 1945 average 8.2 shots (3.6 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Scafatese Calcio 1922 the likelier winners, but ASD Sorrento 1945 are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25, 78% on the records (Scafatese Calcio 1922: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7; ASD Sorrento 1945: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8). Leave: ASD Sorrento 1945 or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); ASD Sorrento 1945 or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); ASD Sorrento 1945 or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: Scafatese Calcio 1922 1-0 ASD Sorrento 1945 (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).