Match details. Serie C, Group C, Girone C - 9. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Pino Zaccheria, Foggia. The referee is G. Vailati.
What's at stake. Calcio Foggia are 10th on 11 points after 8 games, 1 point behind SS Monopoli, level on points with Cavese. A win would take them above SS Monopoli. Potenza Calcio are 1st on 19 points after 8 games, level on points with Bari.
Form. Calcio Foggia have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L. Potenza Calcio have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L.
The numbers. Calcio Foggia score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Calcio Foggia average 12.7 shots (3.8 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Potenza Calcio score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Potenza Calcio average 12.7 shots (5.8 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Calcio Foggia have won two, drawn four and lost four. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, one was drawn and Potenza Calcio won three. The last time they met, on 8 Mar 2026, it finished Calcio Foggia 0-1 Potenza Calcio.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 33% against the records' 56%.
The read. No firm call: Potenza Calcio are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Potenza Calcio are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Potenza Calcio; the meetings favour Potenza Calcio. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 2.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Potenza Calcio or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Calcio Foggia 1-1 Potenza Calcio (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).