Match details. Serie C, Group B, Girone B - 9. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme, San Benedetto del Tronto. The referee is F. Colaninno.
What's at stake. US Sambenedettese are 19th on 5 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Latina, 1 point clear of Vis Pesaro. A win would take them above Latina. Latina Calcio are 18th on 6 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Gubbio, 1 point clear of Sambenedettese. A win would take them above Gubbio.
Form. US Sambenedettese have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L. Latina Calcio have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W.
The numbers. US Sambenedettese score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. US Sambenedettese average 8.2 shots (3.4 on target), 4.1 corners and 3.6 cards a game. Latina Calcio score 2.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Latina Calcio average 14.2 shots (5.2 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.42, 76% on the records (US Sambenedettese: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8; Latina Calcio: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8). Backup: Over 0.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Latina Calcio or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Latina Calcio or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Latina Calcio or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: US Sambenedettese 2-1 Latina Calcio (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).