Botafogo FC PB vs Santa Cruz FC PE
Match details. Brasileiro Serie C, Second Stage - 6. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Botafogo FC PB are 4th on 2 points after 5 games, 3 points behind Floresta. A win would take them level on points with Floresta. Santa Cruz FC PE are 1st on 11 points after 5 games, 3 points clear of Maringá. Botafogo FC PB have nothing left to play for.
Form. Botafogo FC PB have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D L L L. In this competition Botafogo FC PB have gone D D L L L W. Santa Cruz FC PE have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D W W W. In this competition Santa Cruz FC PE have gone D D W W W D.
The numbers. Botafogo FC PB score one and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Botafogo FC PB average 10.7 shots (2.8 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Santa Cruz FC PE score one and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Santa Cruz FC PE average 10.3 shots (3.3 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Botafogo FC PB have won two, drawn four and lost four. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, two were drawn and Santa Cruz FC PE won two. The last time they met, on 6 Sep 2026, it finished Botafogo FC PB 0-1 Santa Cruz FC PE.
The case against. Botafogo FC PB's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Santa Cruz FC PE to win. A tight game. Santa Cruz FC PE are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Santa Cruz FC PE. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 23%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, rated 77% (Botafogo FC PB: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; Santa Cruz FC PE: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Botafogo FC PB 0-1 Santa Cruz FC PE (9% chance).
The agreed story. Santa Cruz FC PE or the draw, a tight game. The app, the Bank and the tipsters together.
The league run. Botafogo FC PB: no win in their last three league games (D D L L W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).