Match details. Torneo Federal A, Round of 32. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Padre Ernesto Martearena, Salta.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Juventud Antoniana have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. CA Huracan Las Heras have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W.
The numbers. Juventud Antoniana score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Juventud Antoniana average 8.9 shots (3.3 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.6 cards a game. CA Huracan Las Heras score 0.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. CA Huracan Las Heras average 9.7 shots (2.9 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
The case against. Juventud Antoniana's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. CA Huracan Las Heras or the draw. A tight game. CA Huracan Las Heras are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.16, 78% on the records (Juventud Antoniana: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; CA Huracan Las Heras: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over/Under & GG/NG: Under 2.5 & No (the signs point different ways); Under 0.5 first-half goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Juventud Antoniana 1-1 CA Huracan Las Heras (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).