Match details. Thai League 1, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Uthai Thani Provincial Stadium.
What's at stake. Uthai Thani FC are 4th on 6 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Rayong FC, level on points with Prachuap. A win would take them above Rayong FC. Rasisalai United are 14th on 1 point after 3 games, 2 points behind Sukhothai FC, level on points with Lamphun Warrior. A win would take them above Sukhothai FC.
Form. Uthai Thani FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. Rasisalai United have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D W.
The numbers. Uthai Thani FC score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Uthai Thani FC average 7.2 shots (2.6 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Rasisalai United score two and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Rasisalai United average 9.5 shots (4.1 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Uthai Thani FC the likelier winners, but Rasisalai United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Rasisalai United. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The case against. Rasisalai United's record still gives them 45% to win.
The read. Uthai Thani FC or the draw. Their goals for and against make Uthai Thani FC the likelier winners; Rasisalai United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Rasisalai United.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Uthai Thani FC 1-1 Rasisalai United (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).