Buriram United vs Rayong FC
Match details. Thai League 1, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Chang Arena, Buriram.
What's at stake. Buriram United are 2nd on 7 points after 3 games, level on points with Ratchaburi, level on points with Rayong FC. A win would take them above Ratchaburi. Rayong FC are 3rd on 7 points after 3 games, level on points with Buriram United, 1 point clear of Uthai Thani. A win would take them above Buriram United.
Form. Buriram United have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D W. Rayong FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D L.
The numbers. Buriram United score 1.3 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Buriram United average 12.3 shots (5.3 on target), 6.6 corners and 3.6 cards a game. Rayong FC score 1.5 and concede two a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Rayong FC average 11.6 shots (4.6 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Buriram United have won six, drawn one and lost one. Six of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Buriram United won two, one was drawn and Rayong FC won one. The last time they met, on 29 Apr 2026, it finished Buriram United 0-3 Rayong FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 83% against the records' 42%.
The read. No firm call: Buriram United are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Buriram United the likelier winners; Buriram United are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Buriram United. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%. Six of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 75% on the records (Buriram United: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home; Rayong FC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Leave: Buriram United Over 0.5 Goals (Buriram United's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (Buriram United are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Buriram United are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Buriram United 2-1 Rayong FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).