Match details. Be1, League Stage - 1. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Planet Group Arena, Gent. The referee is B. Sariev.
What's at stake. Gent are 5th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with FK Jablonec, level on points with St. Truiden. A win would take them above FK Jablonec. AGF Aarhus are 16th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Pafos, level on points with FC Copenhagen. A win would take them above Pafos.
Form. Gent have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W. AGF Aarhus have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L D.
The numbers. Gent score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Gent average 9.9 shots (4.4 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. AGF Aarhus score two and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. AGF Aarhus average 13.4 shots (3.9 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.
The read. Gent to win. A draw is live. An open game. Gent are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Gent. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. Best bet: Gent 1UP at 1.36, 73% on the records (Gent scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4; led in 4 of 5 at home). Leave: 1st Half Result or Match Result: Gent (the signs point different ways); Gent to Win (the signs point different ways); 1X2 - 2UP: Gent (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Gent 2-1 AGF Aarhus (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).