INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE

LYOLYO

17:45Thu 15 Oct

CRY

Lyon vs Crystal Palace

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. UEFA Europa League, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Groupama Stadium, Lyon. The referee is Joao Pinheiro.

What's at stake. Lyon are 11th on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Bournemouth, level on points with Torreense. A win would take them above Bournemouth. Crystal Palace are 2nd on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Juventus, level on points with Sparta Praha. A win would take them above Juventus.

Team news. Lyon are without L. Openda (leg injury), M. Ouedraogo (knee injury), N. Tagliafico (knee injury), L. Openda (leg injury), M. Ouedraogo (knee injury), N. Tagliafico (knee injury). Crystal Palace are without B. Chilwell (inactive), C. Doucoure (off the roster), Z. Gozo (off the roster), E. Guessand (off the roster), D. Henderson (foot injury), J. Lerma (off the roster).

Form. Lyon have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W. In this competition Lyon have gone W. Crystal Palace have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W. In this competition Crystal Palace have gone W.

The numbers. Lyon score 2.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Lyon average 13.8 shots (5.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Crystal Palace score 1.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Crystal Palace average 11.2 shots (4.5 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.

The case against. Crystal Palace's record still gives them 34% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.

The read. Lyon or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Lyon are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lyon. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Lyon or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Lyon 1UP (no side to back); 1X2 - 2UP: Lyon (no side to back). Predicted score: Lyon 1-1 Crystal Palace (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Lyon or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.32

LYO 4 of 5 (80%) · CRY 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%

Lyon scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Crystal Palace trailed or failed to win in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues)

Lyon (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY

1.88

LYO 5 of 7 (71%) · CRY 4 of 9 (44%)72.4%

Lyon won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Crystal Palace lost 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 59% · each game weighed by who it was against · won 4, refunded 2, lost 2

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.10

LYO 5 of 5 (100%) · CRY 10 of 10 (100%)97.3%

Lyon: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Crystal Palace: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.25

LYO 5 of 5 (100%) · CRY 7 of 10 (70%)82.7%

Lyon: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Crystal Palace: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 3.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.56

LYO 3 of 5 (60%) · CRY 4 of 10 (40%)64.5%

Lyon: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Crystal Palace: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 59% · each game weighed by who it was against

LYON GOALS

Lyon Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.22

LYO 5 of 5 (100%) · CRY 7 of 10 (70%)73.7%

Lyon scored in 5 of 5 at home · Crystal Palace conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.34

LYO 4 of 5 (80%) · CRY 9 of 10 (90%)83.7%

Lyon: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Lyon or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Lyon 1UP (no side to back); 1X2 - 2UP: Lyon (no side to back); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13%

Lyon goals →

Crystal Palace goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-28%

2-25%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-41.0%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

LYONWDWLDWDWWL1.80 PPG

CRYSTAL PALACELWLLWWLWDW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LYON HOMExCRYSTAL PALACE AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME1.900.80CONCEDED A GAME1.6040%CLEAN SHEETS40%17%FAILED TO SCORE33%4.75CORNERS A GAME3.001.62CARDS A GAME1.251.61xG1.451.24xG AGAINST2.07

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.83POINTS A GAME1.17+1.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50+2.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.81.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.46LEAGUE GAMES6

Lyon: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.

LYON 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

65%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

LYON OR DRAW

82%

OKAY · 80/85

CRYSTAL PALACE OR DRAW

51%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LYONxCRYSTAL PALACE

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.800.80CONCEDED A GAME2.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE80%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.210.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TEAM NEWS

LYON

Out: L. Openda (Leg Injury), M. Ouedraogo (Knee Injury), N. Tagliafico (Knee Injury), L. Openda (Leg Injury), M. Ouedraogo (Knee Injury), N. Tagliafico (Knee Injury)

CRYSTAL PALACE

Out: B. Chilwell (Inactive), C. Doucoure (Off the roster), Z. Gozo (Off the roster), E. Guessand (Off the roster), D. Henderson (Foot Injury), J. Lerma (Off the roster)

TRENDS

Lyon have scored in 90% of their games.

Crystal Palace have scored in 80% of their games.

Lyon kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Crystal Palace kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards