Match details. Jp2. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time.
Form. Kataller Toyama have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D. Tegevajaro Miyazaki have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W.
The numbers. Kataller Toyama score 2.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Kataller Toyama average 13.5 shots (5.4 on target), 6.9 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Tegevajaro Miyazaki score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Tegevajaro Miyazaki average 11.1 shots (5.2 on target), 3.6 corners and 0.8 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Kataller Toyama have won seven, drawn two and lost one. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Kataller Toyama won two and two were drawn.
The case against. Tegevajaro Miyazaki's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. Kataller Toyama to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Kataller Toyama the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Kataller Toyama; the meetings favour Kataller Toyama. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The bets. Best bet: Kataller Toyama or Draw at 1.32, 74% on the records (Kataller Toyama unbeaten in 7 of 9; Tegevajaro Miyazaki failed to win 6 of 9). Backup: Kataller Toyama Over 0.5 Goals at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Kataller Toyama 2-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).