Match details. Superliga, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. KF Drenica Skenderaj are 7th on 9 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Drita, 3 points clear of Feronikeli. A win would take them above Drita. KF Feronikeli are 8th on 6 points after 7 games, 3 points behind Drenica Skënderaj, 3 points clear of Llapi. A win would take them level on points with Drenica Skënderaj.
Form. KF Drenica Skenderaj have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L. KF Feronikeli have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.
The numbers. KF Drenica Skenderaj score 1.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. KF Drenica Skenderaj average 8.2 shots (2.6 on target), 1.8 corners and 3.2 cards a game. KF Feronikeli score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. KF Feronikeli average 13.3 shots (7.0 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings KF Drenica Skenderaj have won seven, drawn three and lost none. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, KF Drenica Skenderaj won four. The last time they met, on 22 May 2022, it finished KF Drenica Skenderaj 3-2 KF Feronikeli.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The case against. KF Feronikeli's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. KF Drenica Skenderaj to win. KF Drenica Skenderaj are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour KF Drenica Skenderaj; the meetings favour KF Drenica Skenderaj.
The bets. Best bet: KF Drenica Skenderaj or Draw at 1.21, 71% on the records (KF Drenica Skenderaj unbeaten in 4 of 6 at home; KF Feronikeli failed to win 5 of 7). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (KF Drenica Skenderaj are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (KF Drenica Skenderaj are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: KF Drenica Skenderaj 1-0 KF Feronikeli (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).