Match details. Superliga, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. KF Vushtrria are 10th on 0 points after 7 games, 3 points behind Llapi. A win would take them level on points with Llapi. SC Gjilani are 5th on 11 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Dukagjini, level on points with Drita. A win would take them above Dukagjini.
Form. KF Vushtrria have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. SC Gjilani have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D.
The numbers. KF Vushtrria score 0.8 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. KF Vushtrria average 6.0 shots (3.0 on target), 1.3 corners and 3.3 cards a game. SC Gjilani score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. SC Gjilani average 7.5 shots (2.5 on target), 2.5 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
Head to head. SC Gjilani have won all of the last three meetings. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 20 Jun 2020, it finished KF Vushtrria 0-3 SC Gjilani.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The read. SC Gjilani to win. SC Gjilani are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SC Gjilani; the meetings favour SC Gjilani.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (SC Gjilani are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (SC Gjilani are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: KF Vushtrria 0-1 SC Gjilani (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).