Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 1. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Mathare United FC are 1st on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Ulinzi Stars. Aps Bomet FC are 13th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Shabana, level on points with Murang'a SEAL. A win would take them above Shabana.
Form. Mathare United FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L D. In this competition Mathare United FC have gone W L W L D L. Aps Bomet FC have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition Aps Bomet FC have gone D W W W W W.
The numbers. Mathare United FC score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Mathare United FC average 7.3 shots (2.6 on target), 4.3 corners and 0.9 cards a game. Aps Bomet FC score 1.5 and concede 0.2 a game in their last six away, with five clean sheets. Aps Bomet FC average 7.8 shots (3.1 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Mathare United FC have won none, drawn one and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished Mathare United FC 0-2 Aps Bomet FC.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Aps Bomet FC at 1.41, 82% on the records (Aps Bomet FC unbeaten in 6 of 6 away; Mathare United FC failed to win 3 of 5 at home). The safer one: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.14 (98%). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Aps Bomet FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Aps Bomet FC Over 0.5 goals (Mathare United FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); 1X2 - 2UP: Aps Bomet FC (no side to back). Predicted score: Mathare United FC 0-1 Aps Bomet FC (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).