Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna. The referee is Daniele Doveri.
What's at stake. Bologna are 14th on 5 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Lecce, 1 point clear of Udinese. A win would take them above Lecce. Inter are 1st on 16 points after 6 games, level on points with Lazio.
Team news. Bologna are without E. Holm (thigh injury), R. Orsolini (thigh injury), S. Mbangula (injury), J. Odgaard (thigh injury), A. Theate (leg injury), E. Holm (thigh injury). Inter are without C. Jones (thigh injury), L. Martinez (thigh injury), J. Stones (injury), C. Jones (thigh injury), L. Martinez (thigh injury), J. Stones (injury).
Form. Bologna have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D L. Inter have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L.
The numbers. Bologna score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Bologna average 11.2 shots (3.9 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Inter score 2.6 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Inter average 19.7 shots (6.8 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 62% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Bologna have won two, drawn three and lost three. Five of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Bologna won one, two were drawn and Inter won one. The last time they met, on 23 May 2026, it finished Bologna 3-3 Inter: Bologna had 11 shots to 11, 45% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 62% against the records' 40%.
The read. No firm call: Inter are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Inter the likelier winners; Inter are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%. Five of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 79% on the records (Bologna: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Inter: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5). Backup: Inter Over 0.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (Inter are a clear winner, no Unders); Inter Over 1.5 goals (Bologna's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (Inter are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Bologna 1-2 Inter (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).