INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE ELITE

KSKYO

11:00Tue 13 Oct

RAT

Kyoto Sanga FC vs Ratchaburi FC

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. AFC Champions League Elite, League Phase - 2. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kyoto.

What's at stake. Kyoto Sanga FC are 12th on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with Port FC, level on points with Ratchaburi. A win would take them above Port FC. Ratchaburi FC are 13th on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with Kyoto Sanga, level on points with Pohang Steelers. A win would take them above Kyoto Sanga.

Form. Kyoto Sanga FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. In this competition Kyoto Sanga FC have gone L. Ratchaburi FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L W. In this competition Ratchaburi FC have gone L.

The numbers. Kyoto Sanga FC score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Kyoto Sanga FC average 11.0 shots (3.4 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Ratchaburi FC score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Ratchaburi FC average 18.0 shots (8.3 on target), 8.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 12% against the records' 47%.

The read. No firm call: Ratchaburi FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Ratchaburi FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ratchaburi FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Kyoto Sanga FC 1-1 Ratchaburi FC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.20

KYO 5 of 6 (83%) · RAT 5 of 5 (100%)89.3%

Kyoto Sanga FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Ratchaburi FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 76%

1.31

KYO 3 of 6 (50%) · RAT 3 of 5 (60%)55%

Kyoto Sanga FC: the bet landed in 3 of 6 at home · Ratchaburi FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.9%

Kyoto Sanga FC goals →

Ratchaburi FC goals ↓

0-010%

1-010%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-111%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.7%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-40.8%

1-41.0%

2-40.6%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

KYOTO SANGA FCLWWDLLLWWL1.30 PPG

RATCHABURI FCWLWWLWLDDW1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

KYOTO SANGA FC HOMExRATCHABURI FC AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME2.301.30CONCEDED A GAME1.3030%CLEAN SHEETS30%30%FAILED TO SCORE0%3.71CORNERS A GAME8.331.57CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

61%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

84%

NO · 85/90

KYOTO SANGA FC OR DRAW

61%

NO · 80/85

RATCHABURI FC OR DRAW

62%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

Kyoto Sanga FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Ratchaburi FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Kyoto Sanga FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Ratchaburi FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards