Notaresco Calcio vs US Recanatese
Match details. Serie D, Group F. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Notaresco Calcio have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W D. US Recanatese have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W D.
The numbers. Notaresco Calcio score 1.1 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Notaresco Calcio average 11.2 shots (5.3 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.0 cards a game. US Recanatese score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. US Recanatese average 10.5 shots (3.5 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Notaresco Calcio 1-1 US Recanatese (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).