Match details. J1 League. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time.
Form. JEF United Chiba have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W. V-Varen Nagasaki have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W.
The numbers. JEF United Chiba score 1.1 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. JEF United Chiba average 8.6 shots (3.4 on target), 2.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game. V-Varen Nagasaki score one and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. V-Varen Nagasaki average 8.8 shots (4.1 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make JEF United Chiba the likelier winners, but V-Varen Nagasaki are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: V-Varen Nagasaki or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); V-Varen Nagasaki or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: JEF United Chiba 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).