Match details. FAI Cup, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Galway United FC have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W. In this competition Galway United FC have gone W. Derry City FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D.
The numbers. Galway United FC score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Galway United FC average 12.0 shots (3.6 on target), 3.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 38% of the ball. Derry City FC score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Derry City FC average 10.8 shots (5.1 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Galway United FC have won three, drawn three and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Galway United FC won two, one was drawn and Derry City FC won one. The last time they met, on 18 Sep 2026, it finished Galway United FC 0-1 Derry City FC: Galway United FC had 11 shots to 10, 28% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 29% against the records' 51%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Derry City FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Derry City FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Galway United FC 1-1 Derry City FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).