Match details. LaLiga, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe. The referee is Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban.
What's at stake. Getafe are 15th on 8 points after 8 games, level on points with Rayo Vallecano, level on points with Racing Santander. A win would take them above Rayo Vallecano. Rayo Vallecano are 14th on 8 points after 7 games, level on points with Espanyol, level on points with Getafe. A win would take them above Espanyol.
Team news. Getafe are without Juanmi (knee injury), O. Mangala (muscle injury), Z. Romero (muscle injury), C. Uche (knee injury), I. Azon (injury), A. Garcia (injury). Rayo Vallecano are without A. Batalla (broken calfbone), Luiz Felipe (knee injury), A. Ratiu (injury), A. Batalla (broken calfbone), Luiz Felipe (knee injury), A. Ratiu (injury).
Form. Getafe have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D. Rayo Vallecano have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W L.
The numbers. Getafe score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Getafe average 8.9 shots (2.9 on target), 3.9 corners and 3.8 cards a game, with 37% of the ball. Rayo Vallecano score 1.2 and concede 2.3 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Rayo Vallecano average 11.2 shots (4.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Getafe have won none, drawn six and lost four. One of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, two were drawn and Rayo Vallecano won two. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished Getafe 0-2 Rayo Vallecano: Getafe had 13 shots to 10, 56% of the ball, eight yellow cards.
The case against. Rayo Vallecano's record still gives them 39% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Getafe or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. The meetings favour Rayo Vallecano. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%. Nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.16, 76% on the records (Getafe: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7; Rayo Vallecano: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Getafe or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).