MONMON

17:30Mon 19 Oct

CAG

CAG

Monza vs Cagliari

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Brianteo, Monza. The referee is Andrea Calzavara.

What's at stake. Monza are 15th on 4 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Bologna, level on points with Parma. A win would take them above Bologna. Cagliari are 7th on 13 points after 6 games, level on points with Frosinone, 2 points clear of Juventus. A win would take them above Frosinone.

Team news. Monza are without L. Lucchesi (red card), Y. Maye (muscle injury), M. Pessina (knee injury), I. Toure (knee injury), E. Zeballos (knee injury), J. Ziolkowski (foot injury). Cagliari are without M. Felici (knee injury), R. Idrissi (knee injury), Y. Trepy (injury), M. Felici (knee injury), R. Idrissi (knee injury), Y. Trepy (injury).

Form. Monza have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. Cagliari have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L.

The numbers. Monza score 1.5 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Monza average 12.9 shots (5.5 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Cagliari score 1.2 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Cagliari average 12.4 shots (5.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 38% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Monza have won one, drawn one and lost two. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 30 Mar 2025, it finished Monza 0-3 Cagliari: Monza had 12 shots to 11, 59% of the ball, four yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.

The case against. Cagliari's record still gives them 68% to win.

The read. Monza or the draw. A draw is live. Cagliari are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cagliari.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Monza 1-1 Cagliari (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Monza or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MON 6 of 6 (100%) · CAG 5 of 8 (62%)79.5%

Monza: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Cagliari: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 4 · Monza: only games against sides at Cagliari's level · Cagliari: only games against sides at Monza's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.12

MON 3 of 6 (50%) · CAG 8 of 8 (100%)94.1%

Monza: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Cagliari: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 4 · Monza: only games against sides at Cagliari's level · Cagliari: only games against sides at Monza's level

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.32

MON 6 of 6 (100%) · CAG 4 of 8 (50%)67.9%

Monza: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Cagliari: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 4 · Monza: only games against sides at Cagliari's level · Cagliari: only games against sides at Monza's level

MONZA GOALS

Monza Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.31

MON 6 of 6 (100%) · CAG 5 of 8 (62%)67.7%

Monza scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Cagliari conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 3 of 4 · Monza: only games against sides at Cagliari's level · Cagliari: only games against sides at Monza's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.47

MON 5 of 6 (83%) · CAG 6 of 8 (75%)78.6%

Monza: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Cagliari: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · Monza: only games against sides at Cagliari's level · Cagliari: only games against sides at Monza's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.4%

Monza goals →

Cagliari goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

MONZAWLWLLWDLWL1.30 PPG

CAGLIARIWWWWLLWWWD2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MONZA HOMExCAGLIARI AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME1.201.70CONCEDED A GAME0.7030%CLEAN SHEETS40%0%FAILED TO SCORE17%5.20CORNERS A GAME4.002.00CARDS A GAME1.301.80xG1.001.19xG AGAINST1.79

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.67POINTS A GAME2.17-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50+0.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-6.20.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.06LEAGUE GAMES6

Cagliari: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

CAGLIARI 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

83%

NO · 85/90

MONZA OR DRAW

32%

NO · 80/85

CAGLIARI OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

MONZAxCAGLIARI

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.002.20CONCEDED A GAME0.603.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%100%BOTH SCORE40%3.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.410.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

MONZA 1 · 25%DRAW 1CAGLIARI 2 · 50%

2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2023-11-26Monza 1 – 1 Cagliari

2024-03-16Monza 1 – 0 Cagliari

2025-01-05Monza 1 – 2 Cagliari

2025-03-30Monza 0 – 3 Cagliari

TEAM NEWS

MONZA

Out: L. Lucchesi (Red Card), Y. Maye (Muscle Injury), M. Pessina (Knee Injury), I. Toure (Knee Injury), E. Zeballos (Knee Injury), J. Ziolkowski (Foot Injury)

CAGLIARI

Out: M. Felici (Knee Injury), R. Idrissi (Knee Injury), Y. Trepy (Injury), M. Felici (Knee Injury), R. Idrissi (Knee Injury), Y. Trepy (Injury)

TRENDS

Monza have scored in 90% of their games.

Cagliari have scored in 90% of their games.

Monza kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Cagliari kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards