Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Queens University are 4th on 19 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Newington Youth, 1 point clear of Newry City AFC. A win would take them above Newington Youth. Ballinamallard United are 10th on 14 points after 10 games, level on points with Warrenpoint Town, 1 point clear of Loughgall. A win would take them above Warrenpoint Town.
Form. Queens University have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. In this competition Queens University have gone W L L W W W. Ballinamallard United have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W. In this competition Ballinamallard United have gone D L W D W L.
The numbers. Queens University score 2.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Queens University average 4.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Ballinamallard United score 2.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Ballinamallard United average 5.5 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Queens University have won one, drawn one and lost five. Four of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Queens University won one, one was drawn and Ballinamallard United won two. The last time they met, on 30 Dec 2025, it finished Queens University 1-1 Ballinamallard United.
The case against. Ballinamallard United's record still gives them 45% to win.
The read. Queens University to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Queens University the likelier winners; Queens University are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Queens University. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%. Four of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 76% on the records (Queens University: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Ballinamallard United: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Ballinamallard United or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Queens University). Predicted score: Queens University 2-1 Ballinamallard United (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).