NORTHERN IRELAND - CHAMPIONSHIP
19:45Fri 9 Oct
ARD
AF
Newington FC vs Ards FC
CLASS E
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
75
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class E
Double Chance: Newington FC or Draw
Newington FC v Ards FC
1.28odds
78%book
-3edge
2/2angles
THE READ
Match details. Championship. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
Form. Newington FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. Ards FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W L.
The numbers. Newington FC score 3.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Newington FC average 6.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Ards FC score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Ards FC average 7.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
The case against. Ards FC's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Newington FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Newington FC the likelier winners; Newington FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Newington FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.
The bets. Best bet: Newington FC or Draw at 1.23, 75% on the records (Newington FC unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Ards FC failed to win 3 of 5 away). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Newington FC 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Newington FC 2-1 Ards FC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Newington FC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEW 5 of 5 (100%) · ARD 5 of 5 (100%)95.2%
Newington FC scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Ards FC trailed or failed to win in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Newington FC: only games against sides at Ards FC's level · Ards FC: only games against sides at Newington FC's level
Newington FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEW 5 of 5 (100%) · ARD 4 of 5 (80%)88.3%
Newington FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Ards FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Newington FC: only games against sides at Ards FC's level · Ards FC: only games against sides at Newington FC's level
Newington FC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEW 5 of 5 (100%) · ARD 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%
Newington FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Ards FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Newington FC: only games against sides at Ards FC's level · Ards FC: only games against sides at Newington FC's level
Newington FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEW 5 of 5 (100%) · ARD 3 of 5 (60%)80%
Newington FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Ards FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Newington FC: only games against sides at Ards FC's level · Ards FC: only games against sides at Newington FC's level
Double Chance: Newington FC or DrawMAININ CODES
1.28
NEW 5 of 5 (100%) · ARD 3 of 5 (60%)75.4%
Newington FC unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Ards FC failed to win 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Newington FC: only games against sides at Ards FC's level · Ards FC: only games against sides at Newington FC's level
Newington FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.35
NEW 6 of 8 (75%) · ARD 4 of 7 (57%)67%
Newington FC won 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Ards FC lost 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 66% · Newington FC: only games against sides at Ards FC's level · Ards FC: only games against sides at Newington FC's level · won 5, refunded 3, lost 2
Newington FC or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEW 5 of 5 (100%) · ARD 2 of 5 (40%)66.7%
Newington FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Ards FC: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · Newington FC: only games against sides at Ards FC's level · Ards FC: only games against sides at Newington FC's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEW 5 of 5 (100%) · ARD 4 of 5 (80%)93.1%
Newington FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Ards FC: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Newington FC: only games against sides at Ards FC's level · Ards FC: only games against sides at Newington FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEW 5 of 5 (100%) · ARD 4 of 5 (80%)76.9%
Newington FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Ards FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Newington FC: only games against sides at Ards FC's level · Ards FC: only games against sides at Newington FC's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
NEW 5 of 5 (100%) · ARD 3 of 5 (60%)52.2%
Newington FC: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Ards FC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Newington FC: only games against sides at Ards FC's level · Ards FC: only games against sides at Newington FC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.46
NEW 3 of 5 (60%) · ARD 4 of 5 (80%)54.7%
Newington FC: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Ards FC: both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · Newington FC: only games against sides at Ards FC's level · Ards FC: only games against sides at Newington FC's level
NEWINGTON FC GOALS
Newington FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEW 5 of 5 (100%) · ARD 4 of 5 (80%)81%
Newington FC scored in 5 of 5 at home · Ards FC conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Newington FC: only games against sides at Ards FC's level · Ards FC: only games against sides at Newington FC's level
ARDS FC GOALS
Ards FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.46
NEW 3 of 5 (60%) · ARD 4 of 5 (80%)69.9%
Ards FC scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · Newington FC conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · Ards FC: only games against sides at Newington FC's level · Newington FC: only games against sides at Ards FC's level
Ards FC Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEW 4 of 5 (80%) · ARD 3 of 5 (60%)66.7%
Ards FC scored in 4 of 5 away · Newington FC conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · Ards FC: only games against sides at Newington FC's level · Newington FC: only games against sides at Ards FC's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Newington FC 1UP (the numbers (65%) and the records (90%) are 26 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.6%
Newington FC goals →
Ards FC goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
NEWINGTON FCLWLDWWWWDW2.00 PPG
ARDS FCDLDWLLLWDW1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NEWINGTON FC HOMExARDS FC AWAY
2.40SCORED A GAME1.201.80CONCEDED A GAME1.3050%BOTH SCORED60%30%CLEAN SHEETS20%6.00CORNERS A GAME7.142.40CARDS A GAME2.57
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME1.20+0.60GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.10–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.61.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.010LEAGUE GAMES10
Newington FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
72%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
74%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
NEWINGTON FC OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
ARDS FC OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
NEWINGTON FCxARDS FC
5GAMES53.80SCORED A GAME1.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.005.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Newington FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Ards FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Newington FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Ards FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards