MFMOS

19:00Fri 9 Oct

BIR

Mosta FC vs Birzebbuga St. Peters FC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun, a neutral ground.

What's at stake. Mosta FC are 6th on 10 points after 5 games, level on points with Hamrun Spartans, level on points with Sliema Wanderers. A win would take them above Hamrun Spartans. Birzebbuga St. Peters FC are 12th on 0 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Gzira United. A win would take them above Gzira United.

Form. Mosta FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. Birzebbuga St. Peters FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.

The numbers. Mosta FC score 1.3 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Mosta FC average 7.4 shots (3.0 on target), 2.6 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Birzebbuga St. Peters FC score 1.1 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. Birzebbuga St. Peters FC average 9.2 shots (2.9 on target), 5.6 corners and 3.1 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 34% against the records' 75%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.

The read. No firm call: Mosta FC are the better side, but not at this price. Mosta FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Mosta FC.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Mosta FC 1-1 Birzebbuga St. Peters FC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MOS 10 of 10 (100%) · BIR 6 of 6 (100%)96.9%

Mosta FC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Birzebbuga St. Peters FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Mosta FC: only games against sides at Birzebbuga St. Peters FC's level · Birzebbuga St. Peters FC: only games against sides at Mosta FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MOS 10 of 10 (100%) · BIR 6 of 6 (100%)91.3%

Mosta FC: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Birzebbuga St. Peters FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Mosta FC: only games against sides at Birzebbuga St. Peters FC's level · Birzebbuga St. Peters FC: only games against sides at Mosta FC's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MOS 10 of 10 (100%) · BIR 6 of 6 (100%)89.6%

Mosta FC: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Birzebbuga St. Peters FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Mosta FC: only games against sides at Birzebbuga St. Peters FC's level · Birzebbuga St. Peters FC: only games against sides at Mosta FC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.25

MOS 8 of 10 (80%) · BIR 5 of 6 (83%)68.2%

Mosta FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Birzebbuga St. Peters FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Mosta FC: only games against sides at Birzebbuga St. Peters FC's level · Birzebbuga St. Peters FC: only games against sides at Mosta FC's level

MOSTA FC GOALS

Mosta FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MOS 9 of 10 (90%) · BIR 6 of 6 (100%)73.8%

Mosta FC scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Birzebbuga St. Peters FC conceded in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Mosta FC: only games against sides at Birzebbuga St. Peters FC's level · Birzebbuga St. Peters FC: only games against sides at Mosta FC's level

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.42

MOS 7 of 10 (70%) · BIR 5 of 6 (83%)76.7%

Mosta FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Birzebbuga St. Peters FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · on half-time scores · Mosta FC: only games against sides at Birzebbuga St. Peters FC's level · Birzebbuga St. Peters FC: only games against sides at Mosta FC's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MOS 7 of 10 (70%) · BIR 5 of 6 (83%)76.7%

Mosta FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Birzebbuga St. Peters FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Mosta FC: only games against sides at Birzebbuga St. Peters FC's level · Birzebbuga St. Peters FC: only games against sides at Mosta FC's level

Left off the list: 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals (the numbers (69%) and the records (92%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.7%

Mosta FC goals →

Birzebbuga St. Peters… goals ↓

0-011%

1-012%

2-09%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-19%

1-114%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-25%

1-26%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.6%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.5%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

MOSTA FCWDLDWWWWDL1.80 PPG

BIRZEBBUGA ST. PETERS FCWDWDLLLLLL0.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MOSTA FC HOMExBIRZEBBUGA ST. PETERS FC AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.101.10CONCEDED A GAME2.1030%CLEAN SHEETS0%0%FAILED TO SCORE83%2.60CORNERS A GAME5.561.80CARDS A GAME3.11

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.00POINTS A GAME0.00+0.40GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-2.17–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.82.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.05LEAGUE GAMES6

Mosta FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

MOSTA FC 2:0 HANDICAP

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389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

MOSTA FC OR DRAW

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

BIRZEBBUGA ST. PETERS FC OR DRAW

19%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

MOSTA FCxBIRZEBBUGA ST. PETERS FC

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME0.201.00CONCEDED A GAME2.202.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Mosta FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Birzebbuga St. Peters FC have scored in 50% of their games.

Mosta FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Birzebbuga St. Peters FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards