Galatasaray Istanbul vs Barcelona
Match details. UEFA Champions League, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Rams Park, Istanbul. The referee is Marco Guida.
What's at stake. Galatasaray Istanbul are 30th on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with Viking, level on points with FC Porto. A win would take them above Viking. Barcelona are 3rd on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Bayern München, level on points with Manchester United. A win would take them above Bayern München.
Team news. Galatasaray Istanbul are without E. Aydin (off the roster), K. Ayhan (off the roster), A. Guner (off the roster), K. Karatas (off the roster), W. Singo (thigh injury), A. Unyay (off the roster). Barcelona are without R. Bardghji (knee injury), A. Christensen (muscle injury), Raphinha (muscle injury), F. de Jong (knee injury), R. Bardghji (knee injury), A. Christensen (muscle injury).
Form. Galatasaray Istanbul have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W. In this competition Galatasaray Istanbul have gone L. Barcelona have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Barcelona have gone W.
The numbers. Galatasaray Istanbul score 2.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Galatasaray Istanbul average 21.4 shots (7.5 on target), 6.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 59% of the ball. Barcelona score 3.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Barcelona average 23.2 shots (8.5 on target), 8.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 72% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Galatasaray Istanbul have won none, drawn one and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 17 Mar 2022, it finished Galatasaray Istanbul 1-2 Barcelona: Galatasaray Istanbul had 9 shots to 19, 33% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 77% against the records' 47%.
The read. No firm call: Barcelona are the better side, but not at this price. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Barcelona the likelier winners; Barcelona are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Barcelona. Their xG points to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 88%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.20, 88% on the records (Galatasaray Istanbul: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Barcelona: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Barcelona Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (Barcelona are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Barcelona are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Galatasaray Istanbul 2-3 Barcelona (6% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).