INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

LENLEN

17:45Tue 13 Oct

SPO

SPO

Lens vs Sporting

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Fr1, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. The match is at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens and Igor Pajac is the referee.

Form. Lens have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L. Sporting have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W W.

The numbers. Lens score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. They average 13.1 shots (5.7 on target), 9.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Sporting score 2.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. They average 12.9 shots (5.7 on target), 1.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.

The case against. Sporting's record still gives them 42% to win.

The read. Lens or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Sporting are the stronger side on form and the table. Their xG points to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Lens 2-1 Sporting (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Lens or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.33

LEN 4 of 5 (80%) · SPO 4 of 5 (80%)73.3%

Lens scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Sporting trailed or failed to win in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues)

Lens 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.62

LEN 4 of 5 (80%) · SPO 4 of 5 (80%)63.3%

Lens scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 at home · Sporting trailed in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues)

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.18

LEN 4 of 5 (80%) · SPO 9 of 10 (90%)86.7%

Lens: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Sporting: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.31

LEN 4 of 5 (80%) · SPO 8 of 10 (80%)80%

Lens: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Sporting: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 7.7%

Lens goals →

Sporting goals ↓

0-05%

1-05%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.8%

5-00.3%

0-16%

1-111%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-29%

2-27%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-33%

1-35%

2-34%

3-32%

4-30.7%

5-30.2%

0-41%

1-42%

2-42%

3-40.8%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.5%

1-50.8%

2-50.6%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

LENSWLDWLLWWWW1.90 PPG

SPORTINGWDDWWWWWDD2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LENS HOMExSPORTING AWAY

2.20SCORED A GAME2.401.30CONCEDED A GAME1.1020%CLEAN SHEETS30%9.00CORNERS A GAME1.002.10CARDS A GAME2.70

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.17POINTS A GAME2.14+0.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.29+0.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.20.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.26LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

80%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

83%

NO · 85/90

LENS OR DRAW

59%

NO · 80/85

SPORTING OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LENSxSPORTING

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME2.401.60CONCEDED A GAME0.802.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE60%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.410.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Lens have scored in 80% of their games.

Sporting have scored in 100% of their games.

Lens kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Sporting kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards