Match details. Eredivisie. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 11:15 Lagos time.
Form. FC Utrecht have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L D. Willem II Tilburg have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D.
The numbers. FC Utrecht score two and concede three a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Utrecht average 3.3 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Willem II Tilburg score 1.1 and concede 2.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Willem II Tilburg average 4.0 corners and 1.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 66% against the records' 38%.
The read. No firm call: FC Utrecht are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Utrecht the likelier winners; FC Utrecht are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Utrecht 2-1 Willem II Tilburg (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
FC Utrecht or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCU 5 of 5 (100%) · WIL 5 of 5 (100%)86.7%
FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Willem II Tilburg: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at Willem II Tilburg's level · Willem II Tilburg: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
FC Utrecht or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.17
FCU 5 of 5 (100%) · WIL 3 of 5 (60%)70.4%
FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Willem II Tilburg: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at Willem II Tilburg's level · Willem II Tilburg: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.14
FCU 5 of 5 (100%) · WIL 5 of 5 (100%)77.3%
FC Utrecht: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Willem II Tilburg: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at Willem II Tilburg's level · Willem II Tilburg: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
FCU 4 of 5 (80%) · WIL 3 of 5 (60%)59.5%
FC Utrecht: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Willem II Tilburg: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at Willem II Tilburg's level · Willem II Tilburg: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
FC UTRECHT GOALS
FC Utrecht Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.09
FCU 5 of 5 (100%) · WIL 4 of 5 (80%)81.2%
FC Utrecht scored in 5 of 5 at home · Willem II Tilburg conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at Willem II Tilburg's level · Willem II Tilburg: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
FC Utrecht Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
FCU 3 of 5 (60%) · WIL 3 of 5 (60%)62%
FC Utrecht scored over 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · Willem II Tilburg conceded over 1.5 in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at Willem II Tilburg's level · Willem II Tilburg: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.15
FCU 5 of 5 (100%) · WIL 5 of 5 (100%)98.3%
FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Willem II Tilburg: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at Willem II Tilburg's level · Willem II Tilburg: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.21
FCU 4 of 5 (80%) · WIL 5 of 5 (100%)90%
FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Willem II Tilburg: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at Willem II Tilburg's level · Willem II Tilburg: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.29
FCU 4 of 5 (80%) · WIL 5 of 5 (100%)90%
FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Willem II Tilburg: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at Willem II Tilburg's level · Willem II Tilburg: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
Left off the list: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.9%
FC Utrecht goals →
Willem II Tilburg goals ↓
0-06%
1-010%
2-011%
3-08%
4-04%
5-02%
0-14%
1-110%
2-110%
3-17%
4-14%
5-11%
0-22%
1-24%
2-24%
3-23%
4-22%
5-20.6%
0-30.6%
1-31%
2-31%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.2%
0-40.1%
1-40.3%
2-40.3%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
FC UTRECHTLWDLDLLDWW1.20 PPG
WILLEM II TILBURGLLDLDLLWLW0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FC UTRECHT HOMExWILLEM II TILBURG AWAY
1.57SCORED A GAME0.863.43CONCEDED A GAME2.8620%CLEAN SHEETS10%3.29CORNERS A GAME4.002.14CARDS A GAME1.14
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.83POINTS A GAME0.29-1.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-2.00-10.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-6.61.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.46LEAGUE GAMES7
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
89%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
39%
NO · 85/90
FC UTRECHT OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
WILLEM II TILBURG OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FC UTRECHTxWILLEM II TILBURG
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME0.803.60CONCEDED A GAME2.405.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES1.6–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES13.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
FC Utrecht have scored in 80% of their games.
Willem II Tilburg have scored in 80% of their games.
FC Utrecht kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Willem II Tilburg kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards