CS Herediano vs AD San Carlos
Match details. Primera Division, Apertura - 10. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 03:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Carlos Alvarado, Heredia.
What's at stake. CS Herediano are 9th on 7 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Perez Zeledon, 3 points clear of Escorpiones Belén. A win would take them above Perez Zeledon. AD San Carlos are 4th on 15 points after 9 games, 3 points behind CS Cartagines, 1 point clear of LD Alajuelense. A win would take them level on points with CS Cartagines.
Form. CS Herediano have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. AD San Carlos have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.
The numbers. CS Herediano score 0.8 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. CS Herediano average 11.9 shots (4.3 on target), 6.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game. AD San Carlos score 0.9 and concede one a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. AD San Carlos average 0.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CS Herediano have won three, drawn three and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, CS Herediano won two and AD San Carlos won two. The last time they met, on 15 Aug 2026, it finished CS Herediano 0-1 AD San Carlos.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CS Herediano the likelier winners, but AD San Carlos are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AD San Carlos.
The case against. CS Herediano's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. AD San Carlos to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CS Herediano the likelier winners; AD San Carlos are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AD San Carlos. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (AD San Carlos are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (AD San Carlos are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CS Herediano 0-1 AD San Carlos (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).