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ITALY - SERIE D, GROUP A
Asti Calcio crestACAST
14:00Sun 11 Oct
GSDGsd Lascaris crestGL

Asti Calcio vs Gsd Lascaris

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group A, Group A - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Asti Calcio are 5th on 10 points after 6 games, level on points with Ligorna, level on points with Gozzano. A win would take them above Ligorna. Gsd Lascaris are 11th on 8 points after 6 games, level on points with Imperia, level on points with Sanremese. A win would take them above Imperia.

Form. Asti Calcio have won three, drawn one and lost two of their last six, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W. Gsd Lascaris have won two, drawn three and lost one of their last six, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W.

The numbers. Asti Calcio score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Gsd Lascaris score 0.7 and concede 0.7 a game over their last six, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal.

The case against. Gsd Lascaris's record still gives them 33% to win.

The read. Asti Calcio to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Asti Calcio the likelier winners; Asti Calcio are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 17%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Gsd Lascaris or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Asti Calcio); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Asti Calcio 1-0 Gsd Lascaris (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Asti Calcio or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AST 5 of 6 (83%) · GSD 6 of 6 (100%)91.7%
Asti Calcio: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Gsd Lascaris: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Asti Calcio: only games against sides at Gsd Lascaris's level · Gsd Lascaris: only games against sides at Asti Calcio's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AST 6 of 6 (100%) · GSD 6 of 6 (100%)95.6%
Asti Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Gsd Lascaris: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Asti Calcio: only games against sides at Gsd Lascaris's level · Gsd Lascaris: only games against sides at Asti Calcio's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AST 6 of 6 (100%) · GSD 6 of 6 (100%)88.8%
Asti Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Gsd Lascaris: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Asti Calcio: only games against sides at Gsd Lascaris's level · Gsd Lascaris: only games against sides at Asti Calcio's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AST 5 of 6 (83%) · GSD 6 of 6 (100%)75.2%
Asti Calcio: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Gsd Lascaris: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Asti Calcio: only games against sides at Gsd Lascaris's level · Gsd Lascaris: only games against sides at Asti Calcio's level
Left off the list: Gsd Lascaris or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Asti Calcio); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 11.3%
Asti Calcio goals →
Gsd Lascaris goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 6
ASTI CALCIOLWWDLW1.67 PPG
GSD LASCARISDWWDLD1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ASTI CALCIO HOMExGSD LASCARIS AWAY
1.33SCORED A GAME0.671.17CONCEDED A GAME0.6733%CLEAN SHEETS50%33%FAILED TO SCORE33%
TRENDS
Asti Calcio failed to score in 33% of their games.
Gsd Lascaris failed to score in 33% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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