Match details. FAI Cup, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Dalymount Park, Dublin.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Bohemians Dublin FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Bohemians Dublin FC have gone W. Waterford FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W W.
The numbers. Bohemians Dublin FC score 2.5 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Bohemians Dublin FC average 19.0 shots (6.4 on target), 6.7 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Waterford FC score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Waterford FC average 11.4 shots (5.5 on target), 6.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Bohemians Dublin FC have won three, drawn two and lost four. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Bohemians Dublin FC won two, one was drawn and Waterford FC won one. The last time they met, on 9 Aug 2026, it finished Bohemians Dublin FC 1-3 Waterford FC: Bohemians Dublin FC had 14 shots to 16, 70% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Bohemians Dublin FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Waterford FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Bohemians Dublin FC or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: Bohemians Dublin FC 2-1 Waterford FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).