FMFCM

00:15Sun 11 Oct

CDC

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa vs CD Choloma

CLASS D

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

MATCH RESULT

Class D

FMv

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa to Win

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa v CD Choloma

Honduras - Liga Nacional · 00:15

1.23odds

81%book

-9edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. Liga Nacional, Apertura - 9. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 00:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles, Tegucigalpa.

What's at stake. FC Motagua Tegucigalpa are 4th on 13 points after 8 games, 4 points behind CD Marathon, 2 points clear of Génesis. CD Choloma are 11th on 7 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Platense FC, 1 point clear of Juticalpa. A win would take them above Platense FC.

Form. FC Motagua Tegucigalpa have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D. CD Choloma have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L W.

The numbers. FC Motagua Tegucigalpa score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. FC Motagua Tegucigalpa average 11.6 shots (5.0 on target), 6.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game. CD Choloma score 0.7 and concede two a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CD Choloma average 17.7 shots (4.3 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Motagua Tegucigalpa have won eight, drawn two and lost none. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, FC Motagua Tegucigalpa won four. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished FC Motagua Tegucigalpa 5-1 CD Choloma.

The case against. CD Choloma's record still gives them 20% to win.

The read. FC Motagua Tegucigalpa to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Motagua Tegucigalpa the likelier winners; FC Motagua Tegucigalpa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Motagua Tegucigalpa; the meetings favour FC Motagua Tegucigalpa. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: FC Motagua Tegucigalpa to win at 1.23, 72% on the records (FC Motagua Tegucigalpa won 3 of 6; CD Choloma lost 5 of 6 away). The safer one: CD Choloma Under 1.5 Goals at 1.20 (91%). Backup: CD Choloma Under 1.5 Goals at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FC Motagua Tegucigalpa or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Motagua Tegucigalpa 2-1 CD Choloma (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa to WinMAININ CODES

1.23

FCM 3 of 6 (50%) · CDC 5 of 6 (83%)72.1%

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa won 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Choloma lost 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 55% · H2H 6 of 6 · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at CD Choloma's level · CD Choloma: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY

1.11

FCM 3 of 6 (50%) · CDC 5 of 6 (83%)72.1%

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Choloma: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 55% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at CD Choloma's level · CD Choloma: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level

1st Half Result or Match Result: FC Motagua TegucigalpaPAGE ONLY

1.13

FCM 3 of 6 (50%) · CDC 5 of 6 (83%)72.1%

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.75

FCM 3 of 6 (50%) · CDC 4 of 6 (67%)59.6%

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Choloma: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 55% · H2H 4 of 6 · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at CD Choloma's level · CD Choloma: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa win and under 3.5 goalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

2.35

FCM 2 of 6 (33%) · CDC 4 of 6 (67%)52.1%

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: the bet landed in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Choloma: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 42% · H2H 4 of 6 · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at CD Choloma's level · CD Choloma: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level · rule 2: the meetings back FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: in the last 10 meetings, FC Motagua Tegucigalpa won 8

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCM 5 of 6 (83%) · CDC 6 of 6 (100%)92.5%

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Choloma: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 87% · H2H 6 of 6 · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at CD Choloma's level · CD Choloma: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level

FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA GOALS

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCM 4 of 6 (67%) · CDC 5 of 6 (83%)78.3%

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Choloma conceded in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 63% · H2H 6 of 6 · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at CD Choloma's level · CD Choloma: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level

CD CHOLOMA GOALS

CD Choloma Under 1.5 goalsSAFERIN CODES

1.20

FCM 6 of 6 (100%) · CDC 5 of 6 (83%)91.3%

CD Choloma scored under 1.5 in 6 of 6 away · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 6 of 6 · CD Choloma: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at CD Choloma's level

HALVES

Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.18

FCM 5 of 6 (83%) · CDC 4 of 6 (67%)78.8%

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Choloma: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 82% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at CD Choloma's level · CD Choloma: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.22

FCM 5 of 6 (83%) · CDC 4 of 6 (67%)74.6%

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Choloma: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 82% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at CD Choloma's level · CD Choloma: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.68

FCM 4 of 6 (67%) · CDC 2 of 6 (33%)52.1%

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Choloma: the bet landed in 2 of 6 away · both last 10: 58% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at CD Choloma's level · CD Choloma: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level

Left off the list: FC Motagua Tegucigalpa or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.8%

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa goals →

CD Choloma goals ↓

0-06%

1-011%

2-012%

3-08%

4-04%

5-02%

0-14%

1-110%

2-110%

3-17%

4-13%

5-11%

0-22%

1-24%

2-24%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.6%

0-30.6%

1-31%

2-31%

3-30.8%

4-30.4%

5-30.2%

0-40.1%

1-40.2%

2-40.2%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPADLWDWDWWDL1.60 PPG

CD CHOLOMALWLLLWLDLW1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA HOMExCD CHOLOMA AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME0.800.80CONCEDED A GAME1.3040%CLEAN SHEETS40%38%FAILED TO SCORE50%6.43CORNERS A GAME3.671.86CARDS A GAME2.67

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.67POINTS A GAME1.17+0.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.17–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.46LEAGUE GAMES6

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

55%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

31%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA OR DRAW

83%

OKAY · 80/85

CD CHOLOMA OR DRAW

26%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPAxCD CHOLOMA

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.001.00CONCEDED A GAME0.602.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA 8 · 80%DRAW 2CD CHOLOMA 0 · 0%

4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2012-01-29FC Motagua Tegucigalpa 1 – 0 CD Choloma

2012-03-22FC Motagua Tegucigalpa 0 – 0 CD Choloma

2012-09-15FC Motagua Tegucigalpa 2 – 1 CD Choloma

2012-11-11FC Motagua Tegucigalpa 0 – 0 CD Choloma

2013-02-15FC Motagua Tegucigalpa 1 – 0 CD Choloma

2013-04-04FC Motagua Tegucigalpa 3 – 0 CD Choloma

2025-09-10FC Motagua Tegucigalpa 3 – 0 CD Choloma

2025-11-09FC Motagua Tegucigalpa 2 – 1 CD Choloma

TRENDS

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa have scored in 70% of their games.

CD Choloma have scored in 60% of their games.

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

CD Choloma kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards