AL Tadhamon vs Qadsia SC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:50 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AL Tadhamon are 12th on 0 points after 3 games, 2 points behind Al Sulaibikhat. A win would take them above Al Sulaibikhat. Qadsia SC are 3rd on 6 points after 3 games, 2 points behind Kazma, level on points with Al Salmiyah. A win would take them above Kazma.
Form. AL Tadhamon have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. Qadsia SC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W.
The numbers. AL Tadhamon score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AL Tadhamon average 8.1 shots (3.1 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Qadsia SC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. Qadsia SC average 9.0 shots (4.6 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. Qadsia SC have won all of the last nine meetings. Eight of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Qadsia SC won four. The last time they met, on 25 May 2026, it finished AL Tadhamon 0-1 Qadsia SC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; eight of the last nine meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. AL Tadhamon's record still gives them 20% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The read. Qadsia SC to win. An open game. Qadsia SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Qadsia SC; the meetings favour Qadsia SC. Eight of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Qadsia SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); AL Tadhamon Over 0.5 goals (Qadsia SC's own games don't back it (5 of 10)). Predicted score: AL Tadhamon 1-2 Qadsia SC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).