Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Zakho FC are 12th on 9 points after 8 games, level on points with Al Minaa Basra, 1 point clear of Ghaz Al Shamal. A win would take them above Al Minaa Basra. Newroz SC are 5th on 15 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Al Shorta, level on points with Naft. A win would take them above Al Shorta.
Form. Zakho FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L. Newroz SC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D.
The numbers. Zakho FC score one and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Zakho FC average 9.4 shots (3.0 on target), 4.7 corners and 3.1 cards a game. Newroz SC score 0.8 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Newroz SC average 12.0 shots (4.2 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Zakho FC have won one, drawn one and lost one. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 20 May 2026, it finished Zakho FC 1-2 Newroz SC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Zakho FC's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Newroz SC or the draw. Newroz SC are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Newroz SC Over 0.5 goals (Newroz SC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Zakho FC 1-1 Newroz SC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).