Match details. Jordan League. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Al Hussein Irbid have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L L. AL Arabi have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D.
The numbers. Al Hussein Irbid score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Al Hussein Irbid average 16.6 shots (6.6 on target), 7.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game. AL Arabi score 2.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. AL Arabi average 10.8 shots (2.5 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The case against. AL Arabi's record still gives them 48% to win.
The read. Al Hussein Irbid to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make AL Arabi the likelier winners; AL Arabi are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AL Arabi. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Al Hussein Irbid are a clear winner, no Unders); Al Hussein Irbid Over 0.5 Goals (AL Arabi's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (Al Hussein Irbid are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Al Hussein Irbid 2-1 AL Arabi (5% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).