Match details. Superliga, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. KF Llapi are 9th on 3 points after 7 games, 3 points behind Feronikeli, 3 points clear of Vushtrria. A win would take them level on points with Feronikeli. Ballkani are 6th on 10 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Gjilani, 1 point clear of Drenica Skënderaj. A win would take them above Gjilani.
Form. KF Llapi have won one, drawn none and lost six of their last seven, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. In this competition KF Llapi have gone L L W L L L. Ballkani have won three, drawn one and lost three of their last seven, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W. In this competition Ballkani have gone L D L W W W.
The numbers. KF Llapi score 1.1 and concede three a game over their last seven, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. KF Llapi average 11.0 shots (4.6 on target), 5.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Ballkani score 1.3 and concede 1.1 a game over their last seven, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Ballkani average 12.3 shots (4.7 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings KF Llapi have won four, drawn four and lost two. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, KF Llapi won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished KF Llapi 1-0 Ballkani.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Ballkani are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Ballkani; the meetings favour KF Llapi. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. KF Llapi's record still gives them 38% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The read. Ballkani to win. A tight game. Ballkani are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ballkani; the meetings favour KF Llapi. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Ballkani or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Ballkani or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: KF Llapi 0-1 Ballkani (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).