CA Atlas vs Club El Porvenir
Match details. Primera C, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CA Atlas are 9th on 37 points after 31 games, 1 point behind Central Ballester, level on points with El Porvenir. A win would take them above Central Ballester. Club El Porvenir are 10th on 37 points after 31 games, level on points with Atletico Atlas, 2 points clear of Yupanqui. A win would take them above Atletico Atlas. CA Atlas have nothing left to play for. Club El Porvenir have nothing left to play for.
Form. CA Atlas have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D. In this competition CA Atlas have gone L D L L D L. Club El Porvenir have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. In this competition Club El Porvenir have gone D L L W L W.
The numbers. CA Atlas score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Atlas average 4.9 corners and 3.1 cards a game. Club El Porvenir score 0.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. Club El Porvenir average 3.7 corners and 3.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CA Atlas have won four, drawn three and lost three. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, CA Atlas won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 13 Jun 2026, it finished CA Atlas 1-0 Club El Porvenir.
The case against. Club El Porvenir's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. CA Atlas to win. A tight game. Both teams' records favour CA Atlas; the meetings favour CA Atlas. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 24%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.17, 77% on the records (CA Atlas: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Club El Porvenir: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10). Leave: Club El Porvenir or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs CA Atlas); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Atlas 1-0 Club El Porvenir (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).