AD Berazategui vs Defensores de Cambaceres
Match details. Primera C, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AD Berazategui are 1st on 48 points after 31 games, 1 point clear of Centro Español. Defensores de Cambaceres are 10th on 36 points after 31 games, 2 points behind Puerto Nuevo, 4 points clear of JJ Urquiza. A win would take them above Puerto Nuevo. Defensores de Cambaceres have nothing left to play for.
Form. AD Berazategui have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. In this competition AD Berazategui have gone L W D W W D. Defensores de Cambaceres have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W. In this competition Defensores de Cambaceres have gone L L D W W D.
The numbers. AD Berazategui score 1.7 and concede 0.5 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets. AD Berazategui average 5.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Defensores de Cambaceres score 0.9 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and five games without a goal. Defensores de Cambaceres average 5.4 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings AD Berazategui have won four, drawn three and lost three. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, AD Berazategui won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 15 Jun 2026, it finished AD Berazategui 1-0 Defensores de Cambaceres.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 83% against the records' 53%.
The read. No firm call: AD Berazategui are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make AD Berazategui the likelier winners; AD Berazategui are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AD Berazategui; the meetings favour AD Berazategui. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 24%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Defensores de Cambaceres or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs AD Berazategui); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AD Berazategui 1-1 Defensores de Cambaceres (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).