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COLOMBIA - TORNEO DIMAYOR
Bogota FC crestBFBOG
02:15Sun 11 Oct
BOYBoyaca Patriotas crestBP

Bogota FC vs Boyaca Patriotas

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Torneo DIMAYOR, Clausura - 5. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 02:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.

What's at stake. Bogota FC are 13th on 12 points after 11 games, level on points with Union Magdalena, 2 points clear of Orsomarso. A win would take them above Union Magdalena. Boyaca Patriotas are 5th on 17 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Popayan, 1 point clear of Real Cartagena. A win would take them above Popayan.

Form. Bogota FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D L. In this competition Bogota FC have gone D L W D L L. Boyaca Patriotas have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. In this competition Boyaca Patriotas have gone L L L W W W.

The numbers. Bogota FC score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. Bogota FC average 4.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Boyaca Patriotas score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Boyaca Patriotas average 4.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last seven meetings Bogota FC have won one, drawn one and lost five. One of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Bogota FC won one, one was drawn and Boyaca Patriotas won two. The last time they met, on 14 Feb 2026, it finished Bogota FC 1-0 Boyaca Patriotas.

The case against. Boyaca Patriotas's record still gives them 50% to win.

The read. Bogota FC or the draw. A tight game. Boyaca Patriotas are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Boyaca Patriotas. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Six of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Bogota FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Bogota FC 1-1 Boyaca Patriotas (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Bogota FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.36
BOG 8 of 10 (80%) · BOY 7 of 10 (70%)77.4%
Bogota FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Boyaca Patriotas: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · Bogota FC: only games against sides at Boyaca Patriotas's level · Boyaca Patriotas: only games against sides at Bogota FC's level
Bogota FC or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.36
BOG 3 of 5 (60%) · BOY 5 of 10 (50%)56.7%
Bogota FC scored first 0 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Boyaca Patriotas trailed or failed to win in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOG 9 of 10 (90%) · BOY 10 of 10 (100%)96%
Bogota FC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Boyaca Patriotas: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · Bogota FC: only games against sides at Boyaca Patriotas's level · Boyaca Patriotas: only games against sides at Bogota FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.09
BOG 9 of 10 (90%) · BOY 8 of 10 (80%)89.8%
Bogota FC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Boyaca Patriotas: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · Bogota FC: only games against sides at Boyaca Patriotas's level · Boyaca Patriotas: only games against sides at Bogota FC's level
BOYACA PATRIOTAS GOALS
Boyaca Patriotas Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.40
BOG 9 of 10 (90%) · BOY 8 of 10 (80%)65.9%
Boyaca Patriotas scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Bogota FC conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · Boyaca Patriotas: only games against sides at Bogota FC's level · Bogota FC: only games against sides at Boyaca Patriotas's level
Left off the list: Bogota FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.3%
Bogota FC goals →
Boyaca Patriotas goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
BOGOTA FCDLLWLLDWLD0.90 PPG
BOYACA PATRIOTASDDWLWWWLLL1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BOGOTA FC HOMExBOYACA PATRIOTAS AWAY
0.80SCORED A GAME1.401.30CONCEDED A GAME1.6020%CLEAN SHEETS20%41%FAILED TO SCORE23%4.47CORNERS A GAME4.582.22CARDS A GAME2.62
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 7
BOGOTA FC 1 · 14%DRAW 1BOYACA PATRIOTAS 5 · 71%
1 of 7BOTH TEAMS SCORED
4 of 7OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 7OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 7OVER 3.5 GOALS
2019-03-20Bogota FC 0 – 3 Boyaca Patriotas
2019-04-11Bogota FC 0 – 1 Boyaca Patriotas
2023-02-25Bogota FC 0 – 2 Boyaca Patriotas
2023-08-13Bogota FC 0 – 1 Boyaca Patriotas
2025-03-24Bogota FC 0 – 2 Boyaca Patriotas
2025-08-31Bogota FC 1 – 1 Boyaca Patriotas
2026-02-14Bogota FC 1 – 0 Boyaca Patriotas
TRENDS
Bogota FC have scored in 40% of their games.
Boyaca Patriotas have scored in 90% of their games.
Bogota FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Boyaca Patriotas kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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