CS Cerrito vs Tacuarembo FC
Match details. Segunda Division, 2nd Phase - 22. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CS Cerrito are 7th on 29 points after 21 games, 1 point behind Colón, level on points with Fenix. A win would take them above Colón. Tacuarembo FC are 13th on 24 points after 21 games, 1 point behind Miramar, 7 points clear of Uruguay Montevideo. A win would take them above Miramar. Tacuarembo FC have nothing left to play for, while CS Cerrito need the win.
Form. CS Cerrito have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D L. In this competition CS Cerrito have gone W L D D L L. Tacuarembo FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D L. In this competition Tacuarembo FC have gone L D D D L L.
The numbers. CS Cerrito score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. CS Cerrito average 8.6 shots (4.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Tacuarembo FC score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Tacuarembo FC average 10.2 shots (4.6 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CS Cerrito have won four, drawn four and lost two. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, three were drawn and Tacuarembo FC won one. The last time they met, on 5 Jul 2026, it finished CS Cerrito 0-0 Tacuarembo FC.
The case against. Tacuarembo FC's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. CS Cerrito or the draw. A tight game. CS Cerrito are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 74% on the records (CS Cerrito: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home; Tacuarembo FC: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CS Cerrito 1-1 Tacuarembo FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).