Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Colon FC
Match details. Segunda Division, 2nd Phase - 22. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Uruguay Montevideo FC are 14th on 17 points after 21 games, 7 points behind Tacuarembo. Colon FC are 6th on 30 points after 21 games, level on points with CA River Plate, 1 point clear of Cerrito. A win would take them above CA River Plate. Uruguay Montevideo FC have nothing left to play for, while Colon FC need the win.
Form. Uruguay Montevideo FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. In this competition Uruguay Montevideo FC have gone L L L D L D. Colon FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W. In this competition Colon FC have gone D L D L W W.
The numbers. Uruguay Montevideo FC score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Uruguay Montevideo FC average 6.2 shots (2.7 on target), 4.9 corners and 3.8 cards a game. Colon FC score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Colon FC average 7.7 shots (3.7 on target), 6.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Uruguay Montevideo FC have won none, drawn one and lost four. One of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Colon FC won four. The last time they met, on 5 Jul 2026, it finished Uruguay Montevideo FC 0-1 Colon FC.
The case against. Uruguay Montevideo FC's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. Colon FC to win. A tight game. Colon FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Colon FC; the meetings favour Colon FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%. Four of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.17, 77% on the records (Uruguay Montevideo FC: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Colon FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Uruguay Montevideo FC 0-1 Colon FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).