Match details. 3. Division, Group 2, Regular Season - 23. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 17:15 Lagos time.
What's at stake. SK Herd are 7th on 29 points after 22 games, 2 points behind Rosenborg II, 1 point clear of Spjelkavik. A win would take them above Rosenborg II. Spjelkavik IL are 8th on 28 points after 22 games, 1 point behind Herd, 2 points clear of Nardo. A win would take them above Herd. SK Herd have nothing left to play for. Spjelkavik IL have nothing left to play for.
Form. SK Herd have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L. In this competition SK Herd have gone L D L D L L. Spjelkavik IL have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. In this competition Spjelkavik IL have gone L W L L L W.
The numbers. SK Herd score 2.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. SK Herd average 4.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Spjelkavik IL score 2.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Spjelkavik IL average 6.9 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 12 Apr 2026, it finished SK Herd 3-1 Spjelkavik IL.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 27% against the records' 53%.
The read. No firm call: Spjelkavik IL are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Spjelkavik IL are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Spjelkavik IL. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Spjelkavik IL or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: SK Herd 2-1 Spjelkavik IL (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).