Yangpyeong FC vs Ulsan Citizen FC
Match details. K3 League, Regular Season - 24. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Yangpyeong FC are 13th on 17 points after 23 games, 7 points behind Mokpo City, 7 points clear of Jeonbuk Motors II. Ulsan Citizen FC are 9th on 28 points after 23 games, 1 point behind Changwon City, level on points with Yeoju Sejong. A win would take them above Changwon City. Yangpyeong FC have nothing left to play for. Ulsan Citizen FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Yangpyeong FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. Ulsan Citizen FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W.
The numbers. Yangpyeong FC score 2.2 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Yangpyeong FC average 4.8 corners and 3.1 cards a game. Ulsan Citizen FC score 1.1 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Ulsan Citizen FC average 5.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Yangpyeong FC have won two, drawn three and lost two. One of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Yangpyeong FC won two, one was drawn and Ulsan Citizen FC won one. The last time they met, on 16 May 2026, it finished Yangpyeong FC 0-0 Ulsan Citizen FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%; six of the last seven meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Yangpyeong FC's record still gives them 31% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The read. Ulsan Citizen FC to win. A tight game. Ulsan Citizen FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ulsan Citizen FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Six of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Ulsan Citizen FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Yangpyeong FC Under 1.5 goals (Yangpyeong FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Yangpyeong FC 0-1 Ulsan Citizen FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).